
Paul Thurrott attacks the analysts
IT hack Paul Thurrott
has had a pop at those who say that the iPad is killing
off the netbook. The claim started when Morgan Stanley's Katy Huberty's
proprietary research shows the impact of the iPad and other tablets on the
broader gadget market, starting with netbooks. As her chart shows, sales growth
of these low-cost, low-powered computing devices peaked last summer at an
astonishing 641% year-over-year growth rate. It fell off a cliff in January
and of course the iPad was credited with the drop.
However Thurrott points out that this happened before the
iPad. Netbook sales peaked, way before the iPad. Before, in fact, we knew what
an iPad was, Thurrott pointed out. He said that other figures from the beancounters at IDC
show that netbook unit sales are still on the way up but it has been slowed
because of stronger-than-expected sales of larger, full-featured Windows 7 notebooks.
Microsoft's data—based on unit sales for its operating
systems in the first quarter—indicate that laptops in the $550 to $850 range
grew faster than the 35 per cent year-over-year growth in overall Windows unit
sales to consumers. Netbook sales, meanwhile, grew less than 20 per cent,
stabilizing at around 12 per cent to 18 per cent of the consumer market in the
U.S., Europe and Japan.
IDC also says that "the current slowdown is not
because of the iPad, it is simply a combination of seasonality and the law of
big numbers" and that the company "doen't expect much in the way of
iPads stealing way sales from netbooks."